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Financial markets with volatility uncertainty
Affiliation:1. Department of Mathematics, Workgroup Financial and Insurance Mathematics, University of Munich (LMU), Theresienstraße 39, 80333 Munich, Germany;2. Department of Mathematics, University of Oslo, Box 1053, Blindern, 0316, Oslo, Norway
Abstract:We investigate financial markets under model risk caused by uncertain volatilities. To this end, we consider a financial market that features volatility uncertainty. We use the notion of G-expectation and its corresponding G-Brownian motion recently introduced by Peng (2007) to ensure a mathematically consistent framework. Our financial market consists of a riskless asset and a risky stock with price process modeled by geometric G-Brownian motion. We adapt the notion of arbitrage to this more complex situation, and consider stock price dynamics which exclude arbitrage opportunities. Volatility uncertainty results in an incomplete market. We establish the interval of no-arbitrage prices for general European contingent claims, and deduce explicit results in the Markovian case.
Keywords:Pricing of contingent claims  Incomplete markets  Volatility uncertainty
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