Long-run investment under uncertain demand |
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Affiliation: | 1. Department of Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Box 7013, Johan Brauners väg 3, Uppsala 75007, Sweden;2. Department of Economics, University of Padova, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and Centro Studi Levi-Cases, Italy;3. Department of Economics, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy;4. Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), Milan, Italy;1. Faculty of Science, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, China;2. Faculty of Management and Economics, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650032, China;1. Department of Economics, 327 Waters Hall, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS 66506, United States;2. IHS Global Insight, Beijing, China |
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Abstract: | In the literature investigating the impact of uncertainty on short-run and long-run investment, most authors have used a log linear profit function. This functional form has been generally considered a reasonable approximation for a more general one and has the advantage of providing closed form solutions for both short-run investment rule and long-run rate of capital accumulation. In this paper, we consider the profit function for the case of a monopolistic firm facing a linear demand function with additive shocks. Under this assumption, analytical solutions, for both short-run investment rule and long-run rate of capital accumulation, are not available. We then 1) propose an analytical approximation of the short-run investment rule and 2) show how such approximation can be used in order to derive the corresponding i) steady-state distribution of the optimal stock of capital and ii) the long-run average rate of capital accumulation. Finally, we compare the long-run rates of capital accumulation calculated under both profit function specifications. We find that, within a plausible range of parameter values, the two rates are significantly different. Hence, we conclude that the choice of a log linear functional form has a non-trivial impact on the magnitude of the long run rate of capital accumulation. |
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