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Anticipating technology-driven industry convergence: evidence from large-scale patent analysis
Authors:Ohjin Kwon  Yoonjung An  Myeongjung Kim
Institution:1. Future Information Research Center, Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, Seoul, Republic of Korea;2. Department of Industrial Engineering, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea;3. School of Management Engineering, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, Republic of Korea
Abstract:ABSTRACT

Industry convergence has been the subject of many prior studies, yet most have focused on certain domains based on ex post evaluation. This study presents a systematic approach to anticipating technology-driven industry convergence using large-scale patent analysis covering all technology fields. Our approach includes patent co-classification analysis with the concordance between patent classes and industrial sectors to measure technological relations between industries; centrality and brokerage analysis to identify the specific roles of technology fields in industry convergence; and finally link prediction analysis to anticipate technology-driven industry convergence. A case study with the patents issued by the United States Patent and Trademark Office from 1976 to 2014 confirms that our approach provides a holistic and forward-looking perspective on technology-driven industry convergence.
Keywords:Technology-driven industry convergence  patent co-classification analysis  centrality and brokerage analysis  link prediction analysis
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