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Determinants of Cross-Sectional Variation in Discount Rates, Growth Rates and Exit Cap Rates
Authors:Åke Gunnelin  Patric H Hendershott  Martin Hoesli  Bo Söderberg
Institution:Stockholm Institute for Financial Research, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden; , University of Aberdeen, Scotland, and the National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA; , University of Geneva, HEC, Switzerland and University of Aberdeen, Scotland; , Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden; 
Abstract:This study investigates the determinants of key input variables in valuers' discounted cash flow models used for estimating market values for offices. Data from 599 valuations in 2000 from Stockholm, Gothenburg and Malmö are used to explain variation in discount rates, expected growth rates in net operating income and exit cap rates. Our ability to explain the relatively wide variation in appraisal assumptions with plausible covariates generates confidence in the appraisal process. This has important implications because most value and returns indices of commercial real estate worldwide are appraisal based.
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