生产性服务业集聚门槛与制造业升级研究——基于集聚三重效应的分析

通过对生产性服务业集聚对制造业升级的三重效应的分析,表明生产性服务业集聚对制造业升级影响呈倒"U"型以及各变量基于生产性服务业集聚对制造业升级存在门限特征。根据2002-2013年中国31个省级面板数据设定面板模型,并将生产性服务业集聚设为门槛变量进行门限面板模型估计,综合证实了三个假设,甄别出各要素基于生产性服务业集聚对制造业升级促进或阻碍作用的临界点。结果进一步表明,聚集的弹性效力呈现中东西渐次递减态势,空间语境下不同要素基于生产性服务业集聚对制造业升级的作用表现出不同的线性或非线性特征。

Research on agglomeration of producer services Threshold and manufacturing upgrading - based on triple effect of the cluster

Based on the literature review and theoretical deduction. First, the article puts forward triple effects of producer services agglomeration on the upgrade of manufacturing industry, the analysis states that the effect producer services agglomeration have made on the upgrade of manufacturing industry showed inverted U-vurve and there is a threshold characteristics exists in the effects each variable selected worked on manufacturing industry upgrade with the help of producer service industry agglomeration. The part of the empirical test. Based on China's 31 provincial-level panel data during 2002 to 2013 and set panel data model, and set the agglomeration of producer service industry as the threshold variable then set the threshold panel model.Two models comprehensive confirmed the three hypotheses and distinguish the critical point of elements working on manufacturing upgrading with the help of producer service industry agglomeration. Results of the article further indicate that gathered elastic effects of producer industry has gradually present decreasing trend in the rank of Central Region, Eastern Region and western region.Considering space into the context,the effect of different elements wok on manufacturing industry to upgrade by aggregate producer sevice industry shows out different linear or nonlinear characteristic. Thereby make the empirical analysis combining with China's 2013 data,which recognize that different regions has different driving factors, then propose to upgrade manufacturing industry under the guidance of the regional producer services agglomeration.