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Combining information for prediction in linear regression
Authors:Krishnamoorthy  K  Moore  Brett C
Institution:(1) Department of Mathematics, University of Louisiana at Lafayette, Lafayette, Louisiana 70504, U.S.A. (e-mail: krishna@louisiana.edu), US;(2) Service Sector Statistics Division, Census Bureau, Mailstop 6500, Room 2754-3, Washington, DC 20233, US
Abstract:This article deals with the prediction problem in linear regression where the measurements are obtained using k different devices or collected from k different independent sources. For the case of k=2, a Graybill-Deal type combined estimtor for the regression parameters is shown to dominate the individual least squares estimators under the covariance criterion. Two predictors ŷ c and ŷ p are proposed. ŷ c is based on a combined estimator of the regression coefficient vector, and ŷ p is obtained by combining the individual predictors from different models. Prediction mean square errors of both predictors are derived. It is shown that the predictor ŷ p is better than the individual predictors for k≥2 and the predictor ŷ c is better than the individual predictors for k=2. Numerical comparison between ŷ c and ŷ p shows that the former is superior to the latter for the case k=2.
Keywords:: Covariance Criterion  Graybill-Deal Estimator  MINQUE  Prediction Mean Square Error
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