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我国社会保障支出对居民消费需求的影响研究
引用本文:段景辉,黄丙志.我国社会保障支出对居民消费需求的影响研究[J].财经论丛,2011(3).
作者姓名:段景辉  黄丙志
作者单位:上海海关学院海关管理系;
基金项目:国家社会科学基金资助项目(09BJL022)
摘    要:社会保障支出对居民消费需求产生挤出或挤入效应是最近关注的焦点之一。本文利用1987-2009年的省级面板数据建立了社会保障支出与居民消费需求之间的个体固定效应变截距模型。实证研究结果发现:我国各省市的社会保障制度完善程度不同,间接造成各省市居民消费水平存在巨大差异;社会保障支出的增加对居民消费需求存在显著的挤入效应,有助于扩大居民消费需求。基于实证检验结果,最后针对完善社会保障制度提出相关建议。

关 键 词:社会保障  居民消费  固定效应模型  

Study on Impact of Social Security Expenditure to Residents' Consumption Demand
DUAN Jing-hui,HUANG Bing-zhi.Study on Impact of Social Security Expenditure to Residents' Consumption Demand[J].Collected Essays On Finance and Economics,2011(3).
Authors:DUAN Jing-hui  HUANG Bing-zhi
Institution:DUAN Jing-hui,HUANG Bing-zhi(Department of Customs Management,Shanghai Customs College,Shanghai 201204,China)
Abstract:Whether the effect of social security expenditure on residents' consumption demand is positive is a hot issue in academic field.The paper establishes a variable intercept model of the fixed effect of social security expenditure on residents' consumption demand from 1987 to 2009 using the panel data of China's 29 provinces.The empirical research finds:the different developing degree of social security system in different provinces leads to a huge gap of residents' consumption demand in all provinces indirect...
Keywords:social security  residents' consumption  fixed effect model  
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