| 科技进步贡献率测算及预测实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王元地,潘雄峰,刘凤朝. 科技进步贡献率测算及预测实证研究[J]. 商业研究, 2005, 0(5): 28-31 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王元地 潘雄峰 刘凤朝 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连理工大学,21世纪发展研究中心,辽宁,大连,116024 |
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| 摘 要： | 从实证角度出发,以大连市的经济社会发展数据为样本,分别采用生产函数方法和基于劳动价值论的科技进步贡献率方法对大连市的科技进步贡献率做了对比研究,结果表明后者比前者更具有实际操作性、客观性和真实性。在此基础上,采用BP神经网络对大连市未来近20年的科技进步贡献率进行了预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 科技进步 生产函数 劳动价值论 BP神经网络 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-148X(2005)05-0028-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003-11-21 |
The Positive Research on the Contribution Rate of Scientific and Technological Progress Calculation and Forecasting |
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| WANG Yuan-di,PAN Xiong-feng,Liu Feng-chao. The Positive Research on the Contribution Rate of Scientific and Technological Progress Calculation and Forecasting[J]. Commercial Research, 2005, 0(5): 28-31 |
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| Authors: | WANG Yuan-di PAN Xiong-feng Liu Feng-chao |
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| Abstract: | From the demonstrative perspective,the paper samples Dalian's economic development, studies the contributions rate of scientific and technological progress of Dalian city with the production function method, compared with the scientific and technological progress contribution rate methods based on labor value theory, the result indicates that the latter is more practical, impersonal and authentic. Then it predicts the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress of Dalian in the coming 20 years by BPNN. |
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| Keywords: | scientific and technological progress production function labor value BPNN forecast |
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