WHAT CAN CHANGES IN STRUCTURAL FACTORS TELL US ABOUT UNEMPLOYMENT IN EUROPE? |
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Authors: | Julian Morgan Annabelle Mourougane |
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Affiliation: | ECB's Directorate General Research (Econometric Modelling Division); Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) |
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Abstract: | This paper examines the impact of temporal variation in labour market institutions and other structural factors on unemployment in Europe. A system comprising a labour demand and a wage equation is estimated on pooled time‐series data for the six largest EU countries for the 1980s and 1990s. The results suggest that changes in regional mismatch, trade union density and the ratio between consumer and producer prices are positively associated with structural unemployment. This result is robust to a wide variety of different specifications. No consistent role is found for other institutional factors (such as social security benefits, employment security and minimum wage). |
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Keywords: | structural unemployment labour market institutions panel estimation |
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