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Changes in land use typology of global airports: An empirical investigation with implications for the aerotropolis concept
Affiliation:1. Urban Planning and Design, Monash Art Design & Architecture, Monash University, 900 Dandenong Road, Caulfield East, Victoria 3145, Australia;2. School of Built Environment, Queensland University of Technology, 2 George Street, Brisbane, Queensland 4000, Australia;3. Institute of Geography, University of Cologne, Germany;4. Freelance Researcher, 16 Kenton Walk, Narre Warren South, Victoria 3805, Australia;1. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Twente, the Netherlands;2. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Maryland, United States;3. Center for Metropolitan Studies and Polytechnic School, University of Sao Paulo, Brazil;1. University of British Columbia (UBC), Okanagan, BC, Canada;2. University of Auckland, New Zealand;1. Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, University of Utah, 110 Central Campus Dr. RM 1650, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, United States of America;2. Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, University of Utah, 110 Central Campus Dr. RM 2137, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, United States of America;3. Research School of Information, The University of Texas at Austin, 1616 Guadalupe St Suite #5.202, Austin, TX 78701, United States of America
Abstract:Aerotropolis is an urban development concept characterised by the concentration of land uses fostering economic activities around airports. However, limited empirical evidence exists about the formation of aerotropolises and their effects on the productivity of airports. This study addresses the gaps by examining changes in land use patterns around 75 major airports globally, using data extracted from Google Earth for two time periods: 2004 and 2014. A Two-Step cluster analysis technique was applied to identify natural groupings of the airports in terms of their land use patterns for both periods. Changes in cluster membership were observed between the periods to examine the process of aerotropolis formation. A multivariate multiple linear regression (MMLR) model is estimated to identify factors contributing to aerotropolis formation process. Finally, the effects of the aerotropolis formation process on airport productivity is estimated in a two-stage least square (2SLS) regression model. Cluster analysis results show that airport land side development can be classified into three groups: Island airports (surrounded by largely vacant land), Waterfront airports (adjacent to a large body of water), and Built form airports (well-developed residential, commercial and industrial land uses). Overall, built-up areas increased by 2.1% between 2004 and 2014, and only three airports transitioned from Island to Built form – suggesting a weak evidence of the aerotropolis formation process. Developable land surrounding the airports and city population growth rate contributed significantly to this process, which consequently contributed to the productivity of airports. In conclusion, aerotropolises are a promising concept, yet unreal. It needs to be integrated with city plans to direct development, and thereby, to make it a reality.
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