工业化、城市化与我国农村居民收入增长：基于协整理论的实证研究

文章建立在协整理论的基础上，运用误差修正模型和Granger因果检验等方法，研究工业化发展和城市化发展对农村居民收入增长的影响及其动态相关性。研究结论表明，无论在短期还是长期，工业化发展和城市化发展都是影响农民收入增长的重要因素，相比而言，工业化发展对农民收入增长的影响更显著更持久。因此，加速我国工业化进程是实现农村居民收入增长的重要推动力，城镇建设工作要和工业化推进有机结合，总体来说，实现工业化发展在现阶段对我国更为重要。

Industrialization, Urbanization and Income Growth of Rural Residents in China: Based on the Empirical Study Co-integration Theory

Based on the foundation of co-integration, this article applies Vector Error Correction Model and Granger Causality tests to analyse the dynamic relations among income growth of rural residents and development of industrialization and development of urbanization. The result shows that the development of industrialization and development of urbanization are the important factors to affect income growth of rural residents in both short run and long run.The influence from industrialization is more remarkable and permanent than from urbanization.Therefore, industrialization is an important driving force for income growth of rural residents.The promoting of urbanization should be coordinated with development of industrialization. In general, development of industrialization is more imperative than urbanization in our country at present.