基于科技视角与双周期模型的我国突发事件危机管理研究——以新型冠状病毒危机事件为例

2019年末爆发的新型冠状病毒是近年我国经历的一次波及范围广、影响巨大的突发性公共危机事件,科技发展与应用水平不足是触发此次危机事件的重要诱因。基于新型冠状病毒危机事件背景,构造了突发事件生命周期与管理周期的双周期曲线模型,探讨了不同危机管理阶段科学技术的重要作用,并在此基础上提出加速应急产业科技化发展、建立健全危机管理科技发展资金管理体系、完善危机管理科技人才队伍建设机制、进一步推动和加强国际科研合作的政策建议。

Crisis Management based on Science and Technology Perspective and Double-cycle Theory

The COVID-19 is a public crisis that has experienced a wide range, great harm and serious impact in recent years. In the field of crisis management, the insufficient level of technological development and application is an important incentive to trigger the crisis. In this paper we constructed a double-cycle curve model of the life cycle and management cycle of an emergency event based on the analysis of the COVID-19 crisis, and then discussed the important role of science and technology in each stage of crisis management. Finnaly we provided some policy recommendations for the scientific and technological development of the emergency industry.