东北地区产业结构对区域经济韧性的空间溢出效应研究

产业结构多样化与专业化之争是经济学中的一个长期热门话题，区域经济韧性概念为区域发展产业结构多样化抑或是专业化提供了一个全新研究视角。近年来，经济遭受2008年金融危机、第四次产业革命兴起等外部冲击后，长期处于下行态势。基于2009-2018年东北地区34个地级以上城市面板数据，采用空间杜宾模型，探究产业多样化与产业专业化对区域经济韧性的影响。结果发现：产业结构多样化对本市经济韧性起到提升作用，但会降低邻近城市的经济韧性；产业结构专业化对本市和邻近城市经济韧性起到提升作用，能够更好地发挥自身竞争优势，优化资源配置，形成规模效应。

Research on Spatial Spillover Effect of Industrial Structure and Regional Economic Resilience in Northeast China

The debate between industrial structure diversification and specialization is a hot topic in economics for a long time，in recent years, The economy of northeast China suffered from the 2008 financial crisis, industrial revolution in the external impact of long-term decline in the trend, this phenomenon has aroused social concern.The industrial selection and layout of the economic revitalization of northeast China has attracted much attention.The concept of regional economic resilience provides a new research perspective on the diversification or specialization of industrial structure.Based on the panel data of 34 cities in northeast China from 2009 to 2018, this paper explores the influence of industrial diversification and industrial specialization on regional economic resilience through spatial durbin model.The study found that the diversification of industrial structure increased the economic resilience of the city, but reduced the economic resilience of neighboring cities；the specialization of industrial structure has played an enhanced role in the economic resilience of the city and neighboring cities, which can better play its competitive advantages, optimize the allocation of resources and form the scale effect.Therefore, the selection of industries in northeast China should be based on local conditions, develop specialized industrial structure, pursue less but better industrial layout, and concentrate on leading industries.Through the construction of relevant supporting industries in the region to drive the development of neighboring cities, choose the industry that meets the market development needs to build the industrial system.