中关村科技园区创新质量的时空集聚效应研究

创新作为中关村科技园区的基本属性，创新质量决定了中关村科技园区发展质量。科技园区促进区域产业集聚，集聚显著影响科技园区创新，但缺乏对“一区多园”创新质量的综合集聚效应研究。由此，建立中关村科技园区创新质量指标体系，在分析中关村科技园区3种集聚模式的基础上，建立集聚模式对创新质量影响的动态空间面板模型；以2006—2017年中关村科技园区等相关数据为基础，研究不同集聚模式与创新质量的时空效应并对其进行分解分析。结果表明，中关村科技园区创新质量呈现显著时间循环效应和空间溢出效应，各园区创新质量空间集聚存在高-高、低-低等模式并随着时间推移发生跃迁。所有园区受到正向显著的专业化集聚影响，大兴-亦庄园受到负向显著的多样化集聚影响，而房山园、密云园和延庆园受到的多样化集聚影响不显著，海淀园、朝阳园、大兴-亦庄园、东城园、西城园、通州园、门头沟园和顺义园受到市场竞争集聚效应的影响。

Study on the Temporal and Spatial Agglomeration Effect of Innovation Quality of Zhongguancun Science Park

Innovation is the basic attribution of Zhongguancun Science Park,and the quality of innovation determines the quality of its development.Science parks promote regional industrial agglomeration,and agglomeration significantly affects the innovation of science parks.But theories and researches about comprehensive agglomeration effect on the innovation quality of Zhongguancun Science Park lack.This paper established the innovation quality index system of Zhongguancun Science Park and dynamic spatial panel models of the impact of the agglomeration model on innovation quality,and also researched on the spatial and temporal effects of different agglomeration models and decomposed them.The results show that the innovation quality of Zhongguancun Science Park has a significant time-cycle effect; the space of innovation quality in each park has high-high and low-low modes and transitions with time.All the parks were affected by the positive and significant special agglomeration.Daxing-Yizhuang Park was affected by the negative and significant diversity,while the diversity of Fangshan Park,Miyun Park and Yanqing Park was not significant.Haidian Park,Chaoyang Park and Daxing -Yizhuang Park,Dongcheng Park,Xicheng Park,Tongzhou Park,Mentougou Park and Shunyi Park were affected by the market competition agglomeration effect.