服务贸易高质量对经济高质量发展的影响路径究

服务贸易在构建新发展格局中具有重要作用，实现服务贸易高质量发展能否推动经济高质量发展是值得深入探究的问题。基于2011—2022年的省级面板数据，在理论分析和研究假设的基础上通过实证检验考察服务贸易高质量对经济高质量发展的影响。研究发现，服务贸易高质量对经济高质量具有显著正向影响。分维度看，服务贸易高质量显著促进创新发展、协调发展、开放发展和共享发展，但对绿色发展的影响不显著；分地区看，中部地区服务贸易高质量促进经济高质量发展，而东部、西部地区的关系并不显著。利用中介效应模型探析两者影响路径时发现，服务贸易高质量通过技术创新、产业结构优化升级对经济高质量发展生成显著正向作用，而人力资本水平提升在其中的中介效应不显著。因此，应当大力推进技术创新，促进产业结构优化升级，推进高水平对外开放促进经济高质量发展。

Impact of High-quality Service Trade on High-quality Economic Development

Service trade plays an important role in building a new development pattern. Whether the high-quality development of service trade can promote the high-quality development of the economy is a question worth in-depth inquiry. Based on the provincial panel data from 2011 to 2022, the impact of high-quality service trade on high-quality economic development on the basis of theoretical analysis and research assumptions was examined. It is found that the high quality of service trade has a significant positive impact on the high quality of the economy. In dimensional view, the high quality of service trade significantly promotes innovative development, coordinated development, open development and shared development, but the impact on green development is not significant. Regionally, high-quality service trade in the central region promotes high-quality economic development, while the relationship between the two in the eastern and western regions is not significant. When using the intermediary effect model to explore the impact paths of the two, it is found that the high quality of service trade has a significant positive effect on the high-quality development of the economy through technological innovation and the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure, while the intermediary effect of the improvement of the level of human capital is not significant. Therefore, it is necessary to promote technological innovation, promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure, and promote high-level opening up to the outside world to promote high-quality economic development.