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The log-moment formula for implied volatility
Authors:Vimal Raval  Antoine Jacquier
Institution:1. Quantitative Strategies & Data Group, Bank of America, London, UK;2. Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London and the Alan Turing Institute, London, UK
Abstract:We revisit the foundational Moment Formula proved by Roger Lee fifteen years ago. We show that in the absence of arbitrage, if the underlying stock price at time T admits finite log-moments E | log S T | q ] $\mathbb {E}|\log S_T|^q]$ for some positive q, the arbitrage-free growth in the left wing of the implied volatility smile for T is less constrained than Lee's bound. The result is rationalized by a market trading discretely monitored variance swaps wherein the payoff is a function of squared log-returns, and requires no assumption for the underlying price to admit any negative moment. In this respect, the result can be derived from a model-independent setup. As a byproduct, we relax the moment assumptions on the stock price to provide a new proof of the notorious Gatheral–Fukasawa formula expressing variance swaps in terms of the implied volatility.
Keywords:implied volatility  moment formula  variance swaps
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