中国林业产权制度变迁的最优路径研究——诱致性变迁还是强制性变迁

文章在经典农户行为理论的基础上引入产权制度变量,对我国林业制度变迁的最优路径及其中短期影响因素进行了理论分析。结论证明,最优的林权制度变迁过程是强制性还是诱致性取决于林业自身的生产要素积累程度。长期来看,林业制度更倾向于多元化经营与家庭经营。可以证明,理论结论与我国林业产权制度变迁的历史过程是一致的,并得出了林业制度变迁理论结论对于我国的意义及若干启示。

A Research on the Optimal Path of China’s Forestry Property Institutional Changes-Induced Institutional Change or Coercive Institutional Change

This paper introduces the variables of property rights to the classic model which describes behaviors of farmers. It makes a theoretical analysis on the optimal path and its medium and short-term impact on China＆#39;s forestry institutional changes.The conclusion shows that it is the marginal productivity of the factors of production which decides the process of in-stitutional changes： coercive or induced institutional change. In the long term, the forestry institution will tend to diversifica-tion mode and family mode. It can be proved that the theoretical conclusion is consistent with the history of China’s forest-ry institutional changes. Finally, it explains the meanings and enlightenments of the theory of forestry institutional changes.