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Minding our Ps and Qs: Exchange rates and foreign trade
Authors:Arthur B Laffer
Institution:Distinguished Professor at Pepperdine University a Member of the President's Economic Policy Advisory Board. Dr. Laffer has published numerous books and articles on international trade
Abstract:Since early 1985, the dollar has been declining in the foreign exchange markets. An examination of interest rate patterns internationally suggests that the dollar's decline is not inflation induced. Taking the analysis one step further it is clear that Europe and Japan have had supply-side revolutions of their own. Therefore, the fall in the U.S. dollar appears to be the consequence of improved foreign economies. As such, the lower valued dollar will lead to improvements in the U.S. economy, especially in the tradable goods area. These improvements will not be made at the expense of the less tradable goods, however. The rich will get richer and so will the poor.
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