ASEAN-India Free Trade Agreement: Evaluating Trade Creation and Trade Diversion Effects |
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| Authors: | Richa Khurana D K Nauriyal |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Humanities and Social Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, Uttarakhand, India;2. Kumaun University, Nainital, Uttarakhand, India |
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| Abstract: | The present study attempts to provide insight into the trade creation and trade diversion effects of ASEAN-India Free Trade Agreement in goods, which came into force in 2010. The paper applies a theoretically consistent gravity model and uses empirically robust procedures such as ordinary least squares and pseudo-Poisson maximum likelihood in order to analyze the ex post effects of the agreement at an aggregate level. The results reveal that standard gravity variables are statistically significant and report expected signs, yet a reduction in export flows has been observed following the implementation of the free trade agreement, giving rise to pure trade diversion effects. |
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| Keywords: | ASEAN free trade agreements gravity model India |
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