济南市人口城市化趋势分析与研究

人口城市化趋势的预测,对于一个地区的发展具有十分重要的指导意义,而Logistic模型也是在人口城市化水平预测中最常用的模型。本文将Logistic模型进行修正并用以预测了济南市人口城市化水平的趋势,并根据预测结果对济南市人口城市化水平进行阶段性分析和影响因素分析。分析结果表明,济南市人口城市化发展速度较高,主要与农村劳动力的流动、农业生产率的提高、经济因素等有关。

An Analysis on the Trend of Regional Population Urbanization in Jinan

The prediction of the population urbanization tendency played a very important role for the development of a region.And the Logistic is the most commonly used model in the forecast of the population urbanization level.This article,firstly, simply elaborates the current research and the development survey. And carry out periodic analysis on the population urbanization level and the factor of Jinan, according to the final prediction result.The analysis result indicated that the population urbanization level o...