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Technology, demand and distribution: a cumulative growth model with an application to the Dutch productivity growth slowdown
Authors:Naastepad   C. W. M.
Affiliation:* Delft University of Technology
Abstract:This paper argues that the case for real wage growth restraint,and the consequent restoration of profitability, which the mainstreamconsensus regards as a necessary condition for sustained outputand productivity growth, is based on weak foundations, becauseit neglects the negative impact of wage moderation on productivitygrowth. Using a general Keynesian growth model, which integratesa (wage-led or profit-led) demand regime and a productivityregime (incorporating the productivity-growth enhancing effectsof higher demand and higher real wages), the conditions areidentified under which real wage restraint fails to raise outputand productivity growth. The model is applied empirically tothe Netherlands (1960–2000).
Keywords:Demand-led growth    Endogenous technological change    Wage-led and profit-led demand regimes    Productivity regime    Cumulative causation
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