煤电链边际碳排放的演化情景估算

煤电污染历来深受关注。对于用电终端单位电能需求对煤电厂的边际发电量和碳排放量的影响,通过设定煤电技术、电网线损率、厂用电率等因素在不同碳约束条件下的演化情景,估算用电终端引致的煤电链边际碳排放数值的演化趋势,对比发现采用低碳情景或强化低碳情景下的煤电管制技术是电力低碳化发展的必然选择。

Estimation on Marginal Carbon Emissions of Coal Energy Chain in Evolution Scenario

Electricity pollution is given close attention.For the marginal power generated and carbon emissions caused impact on unit electricity of the power consumption side,through setting up evolution scenario of power generation technology,power loss rate,power plant consumption rate and so on and forth in different carbon control scenarios,it calculates the trend of marginal carbon evolutionary emissions of coal energy chain that caused by unit power consumption.Comparing marginal carbon emissions results of different carbon constrained scenarios,it founds that taking use of electric control technology in low carbon scenario or enhanced low carbon scenario is inevitable choice to low carbon development of coal power industry.