Cycle and Trend in Models of the Range of Equilibria

This paper investigates the potential of models of the range of equilibria to yield a pattern of equilibrium rates of unemployment that is consistent with the observed mix of cycle with no trend in the rate of unemployment. To do this the paper considers a model in which wages are determined by a group of unionised insiders bargaining with an employer. In the model the supply of labour is endogenous. Specifications of the utility function are found which are consistent with the mix of cycle and no trend in the rate of unemployment. Of these it is concluded that loss aversion in the evaluation of wage relativities is a crucial ingredient for models of the range of equilibria.