| 甘肃省电力需求的协整与误差修正分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 田茂君,等.甘肃省电力需求的协整与误差修正分析[J].价值工程,2014(10):13-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 田茂君 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]西安理工大学,西安710048 [2]甘肃省电力公司,兰州730050 [3]西北工业大学,西安710072 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家电网公司科技项目（2013EK090008c090008）. |
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| 摘 要： | 以甘肃省1978-2012年数据为例,采用协整与误差修正模型技术研究了甘肃省电力需求的决定因素,建立了甘肃电力需求函数,检验了电力需求与国内生产总值、电力价格、经济结构、电力使用效率之间的长期均衡关系及短期波动关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 电力需求 协整 误差修正模型 |
Analysis of Power Demand in Gansu Province by Using Co-integration and Error Correction Model |
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| TIAN Mao-jun,LIU Fu-chao LIU Zhi-ping,XU Yuan.Analysis of Power Demand in Gansu Province by Using Co-integration and Error Correction Model[J].Value Engineering,2014(10):13-15. |
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| Authors: | TIAN Mao-jun LIU Fu-chao LIU Zhi-ping XU Yuan |
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| Institution: | 1.Xian University of Technology, Xi＇an 710048, China ;2.Gansu Province Electric Power Company, Lanzhou 730050, China 3.Northwestem Polytechnical University, Xi＇an 710072, China ) |
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| Abstract: | With the case of Gansu Province, using data from 1978 to 2012, this paper studies the determinants of power demand with the methods of co-integration theory and error correction model, constructs a power demand function, and tests the long-run equilibrium relationship and short-term fluctuation relationship between aggregate power demand and the main economic variables, such as GDP, price, economic structure and efficiency. |
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| Keywords: | electric power demand co-integration error correction model |
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