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| 模糊综合评价和改进神经网络相结合的电力建设项目合同风险评价 | |
| 引用本文： | 李泽红,王志刚,刘颖.模糊综合评价和改进神经网络相结合的电力建设项目合同风险评价[J].科技和产业,2009,9(3):31-35. |
| 作者姓名： | 李泽红 王志刚 刘颖 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 华北电力大学,经济管理系,河北,保定,071003 2. 河北马头发电有限责任公司,河北,邯郸,056004 3. 国电邯郸热电厂,河北,邯郸,056004 |
| 摘 要： | 电力建设项目合同风险具有非线性、时变性和不确定性,所以对合同风险研究就显得非常重要。本文在详细分析电力建设项目合同风险影响因素的基础上,建立了电力建设项目合同风险评价指标体系,采用模糊综合评价确定各风险因素的数值化评价值,结合改进的Elman神经网络模型对电力建设项目合同风险进行综合评判,提出了电建项目合同风险的预警与防范。通过对某电力集团的电力建设项目合同风险的评价验证了改进模型的适用性。 |
| 关 键 词： | 合同风险 风险识别 神经网络 综合评价 |
Risk Assessment of Power Construction Project Contract Combining Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation and Improvement of Neural Network |
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| LI Ze-hong,WANG Zhi-gang,LIU Ying.Risk Assessment of Power Construction Project Contract Combining Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation and Improvement of Neural Network[J].SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL,2009,9(3):31-35. | |
| Authors: | LI Ze-hong WANG Zhi-gang LIU Ying |
| Institution: | 1.Department of Economics and Management of North China of Electric Power University;Baoding Hebei 071003;China;2.Ma Tou Power Generation Co. Ltd.;Handan Hebei 056004;3.HandanThermal Power Plant;China |
| Abstract: | there are non-linear,time-variability and uncertainty risks of power construction project contract,so it is very important to research the contract risks.In this paper,basing on a detailed analysis of the factors which can affect the risks of power construction project contract,index system to evaluate the risks of power construction project contract is established,determining the numerical evaluation value of the risk factors in the method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation,combined with the improved Elman ... |
| Keywords: | contract risks risk identification neural network comprehensive evaluation |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |