| 基于VEC模型的北京市碳价影响因素分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 宋月圆,何玲雁. 基于VEC模型的北京市碳价影响因素分析[J]. 科技和产业, 2023, 23(15): 149-155 |
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| 作者姓名： | 宋月圆 何玲雁 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉东湖学院 管理学院, 武汉 430212;广州华商学院 管理学院,广州 511300 |
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| 摘 要： | 碳排放权交易成为各国进行减排最主要的方式。北京在城市低碳可持续发展中发挥了至关重要的作用。通过向量误差修正(VEC)模型对北京市碳排放权交易市场的碳价进行研究,探究北京市碳交易价格的影响因素。研究结果表明,北京市碳排放权(BEA)价格与工业总产值、原油价格和温度正相关,与动力煤价格指数、沪深300指数负相关。
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| 关 键 词： | 碳排放权交易价格 影响因素 VEC(向量误差修正)模型 北京 |
The Influencing Factors of Carbon Price in Beijing Based on VEC Model |
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| Abstract: | Carbon emission trading has become the main way for countries to reduce emissions. Beijing has played a crucial role in the low-carbon and sustainable development of the city. Vector error correction (VEC) model is used to study the carbon prices in the Beijing carbon emission trading market and explore the influencing factors of carbon trading prices in Beijing. The research conclusion indicates that the price of carbon emission permits (BEA) in Beijing is positively correlated with the total industrial output value, crude oil price, and temperature, while negatively correlated with the thermal coal price index and the Shanghai Shenzhen 300 index. |
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