| 对人民币汇率与广东省进出口额之间关系的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘巍,郭友群. 对人民币汇率与广东省进出口额之间关系的实证分析[J]. 国际经贸探索, 2003, 19(1): 31-34 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘巍 郭友群 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东外语外贸大学国际经贸学院,广东,广州,510420 |
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| 摘 要： | 以国际贸易理论为基础，利用广东省的若干客观经济数据，对人民币汇率与广东省进出口额之间的关系进行实证分析，分别得出人民币汇率与广东省的数量关系、广东省GDP指数与广东省进口额之间的数量关系以及进口关税税率与广东省进口额之间的数量关系。同时，对广东省出口额的预测值与实际值之间的残差做了简要分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 人民币汇率 进口额 出口额 数量关系 实证分析 对外贸易 广东 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-0594(2003)01-31-04 |
A Positive Analysis of the Relation Between RMB Exchange Rate and Imp. & Exp. Volume of Guangdong Province |
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| Liu Wei,Quo Youqun. A Positive Analysis of the Relation Between RMB Exchange Rate and Imp. & Exp. Volume of Guangdong Province[J]. International Economics and Trade Research, 2003, 19(1): 31-34 |
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| Authors: | Liu Wei Quo Youqun |
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| Abstract: | The article, by making use of the macro - economic statistics of Guangdong province to conduct a positive analysis of the relation between RMB exchange rate and import - export volume of Guangdong, demonstrates the quantitative relation between the RMB exchange rate and the Province's import - export volume, and that between the world GDP index and the Province's export volume as well as that between the import tariff rate and the Province' s import volume. In addition, a brief analysis is made of the residual between the observed value of the Province's export volume and the estimated value. |
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| Keywords: | RMB exchange rate import export quantitative relation variables |
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