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Ruin under stochastic dependence between premium and claim arrivals
Authors:Matija Vidmar
Institution:1. Department of Mathematics, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.;2. Institute for Mathematics, Physics and Mechanics, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
Abstract:We investigate, focusing on the ruin probability, an adaptation of the Cramér–Lundberg model for the surplus process of an insurance company, in which, conditionally on their intensities, the two mixed Poisson processes governing the arrival times of the premiums and of the claims respectively, are independent. Such a model exhibits a stochastic dependence between the aggregate premium and claim amount processes. An explicit expression for the ruin probability is obtained when the claim and premium sizes are exponentially distributed.
Keywords:Cramér–Lundberg model  surplus process  stochastic dependence  probability of ruin
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