| 成品油终端配送预测模型研究与应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李嘉,张宝生. 成品油终端配送预测模型研究与应用[J]. 技术经济, 2007, 26(6): 117-121 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李嘉 张宝生 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国石油大学(北京)工商管理学院,北京,102249 |
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| 摘 要： | 以一个成品油配送局部系统为研究基础,建立预测模型,模拟预测下一日需求量和下一日配车需求,为成品油销售系统实现主动配送提供了模型研究基础和实际应用例示。
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| 关 键 词： | 成品油 终端配送 预测模型 应用分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-980X（2007）06-0117-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-01-28 |
Research and Analysis of Oil Distribution Model |
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| LI Ji,ZHANG Bao-sheng. Research and Analysis of Oil Distribution Model[J]. Technology Economics, 2007, 26(6): 117-121 |
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| Authors: | LI Ji ZHANG Bao-sheng |
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| Affiliation: | School of business Administration, Petroleum University, Beijing 102249, China |
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| Abstract: | Taking a part of a real refined oil distribution system as the study base, the paper describes the basic structure and contents of a modern oil distribution model. Based on statistic data ,the paper presents the whole process of building a prediction model for daily demand on refined oil. Using this model, we can simulate next-day's oil demand and then forecast the transportation capacities to meet the demand. The paper builds up the foundation for the model to realize active distribution and provides illustration for practical applications. |
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| Keywords: | refined oil terminal distribution prediction model applications analysis |
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