经济过热的冷思考:工资分配与过剩经济

从长远来看,过剩经济仍将是中国长期面临的经济困境。我国经济过剩的根源在于,劳动力无限供给造成的低工资和由此导致的有效需求不足与日益提高的社会供给能力之间的矛盾。工资分配与社会总需求和总供给之闻具有直接的关系,从而形成了由工资决定的国民收入决定模型。劳动力丰裕国家的长期低工资将导致有效需求不足引起的经济恶性循环(低工资陷阱)。要摆脱低工资陷阱,政府除了要采取积极的财政政策和出口鼓励政策外,更重要的是要提高职工工资从而扩大社会的有效需求。

A Cool Reflection of the Overheated Economy:Wage Distribution and Surplus Economy

In the long run, surplus economy will be the enduring plight haunting China's economic development. The root canste of the surplus economy in China is the contradiction between the constantly increasing social supply capability and insufficient effective demand due to low wages resulting from the infinite supply of labor. Since wage distribution is directly linked to the social aggregate demand and supply, a wage-determining-national-income model has taken shape. The long-term low wages in countries with abundant labor will give rise to insufficient demand which will lead to an economic vicious cycle (low wage trap). To ehminate this trap, besides implementing positive financial policies and policies encouraging export, the government shall increase employees wages so as to expand effective social demand.