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On the relationship between female labour force participation and fertility in G7 countries: evidence from panel cointegration and Granger causality
Authors:Vinod Mishra  Ingrid Nielsen  Russell Smyth
Affiliation:(1) Finnish Forest Research Institute, Unioninkatu 40 A, 00170 Helsinki, Finland;(2) Finnish Forest Research Institute, Yliopistokatu 6, 80100 Joensuu, Finland;(3) Pellervo Economic Research Institute, Eerikinkatu 28 A, 00180 Helsinki, Finland
Abstract:This article examines the relationship between the female labour force participation rate and total fertility rate for the G7 countries from 1960 to 2006 using panel unit root, panel cointegration, Granger causality and long-run structural estimation. The article’s main findings are that the female labour force participation rate and total fertility rate are cointegrated for the panel of G7 countries; that long-run Granger causality runs from the total fertility rate to the female labour force participation rate and that a 1% increase in the total fertility rate results in a 0.4% decrease in the female labour force participation rate for the G7 countries.
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