Sectoral co-movements of employment growth at regional level |
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Authors: | Marco Capasso Koen Frenken Tania Treibich |
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Affiliation: | 1. School of Business and Economics, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands;2. Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna, Pisa, Italy;3. Finance Think – Economic Research and Policy Institute, Skopje, Republic of Macedonia;4. Innovation Studies, Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands;5. CIRCLE, Lund University, Lund, Sweden;6. OFCE, Paris, France |
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Abstract: | This paper presents a comprehensive study of sectoral co-movements of employment growth in the entire Dutch economy. We construct different macro typologies according to manufacturing versus services, innovativeness, labour skills and position in the value chain, thus expanding the list of potential logics of sectoral interrelations. Using a vector autoregression model, we assess whether and how growth in a macro-sector, and in a given region, can predict growth in the same or other macro-sectors, in the same or in other regions. Our findings bring to light the inter-regional nature of intersectoral linkages, as well as the existence of complementarities between sectors. Supporting the growth of innovative firms could have positive externality effects, especially in the Knowledge-Intensive Business Services sector which is associated with the growth of the entire economy. |
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Keywords: | Employment growth growth co-movements sectoral taxonomy industrial dynamics |
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