The future of walking in Europe: a Delphi project to identify expert opinion on future walking scenarios |
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| Authors: | Rodney Tolley Les Lumsdon Karen Bickerstaff |
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| Institution: | 1. Division of Geriatrics, Department of Medicine, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California;2. Health Unit, RAND Corporation, Arlington, Virginia;3. Department of Nursing Science, College of Health Sciences, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California;4. Department of Sociology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California;5. City of Los Angeles Department of Aging, Los Angeles, California;6. VA Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System Geriatric Research Education and Clinical Center (GRECC), Los Angeles, California;1. STENUM GmbH Anton Kleinoscheg Straße 21, A-8051 Graz, Austria;2. voestalpine Austria Draht GmbH, Bahnhofstraße 2, A-8600 Bruck a. d. Mur, Austria;3. TU Wien, Institut für Fertigungstechnik Labor für Produktionstechnik, Landstraßer Hauptstraße 152, A-1030 Wien, Austria;1. Department of Medicine, Division of Hospital Medicine, Stanford University, mail code 5209, 300 Pasteur Drive, Stanford, CA 94305, USA;2. Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, 600 North Wolfe Street, Meyer Building 8th Floor, Room 147, Baltimore, MD 21204, USA;1. Department of Orthopedics, Jianhu People''s Hospital of Jiangsu Province, Jianhu, P.R. China;2. Science and Education Section, Jianhu People''s Hospital of Jiangsu Province, Jianhu, P.R. China |
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| Abstract: | There is increasing recognition of the importance of walking to the sustainability of cities, set against a continuing decline in everyday walking. This paper reports on a research project, which predicts trends in walking in Europe by 2010 by seeking opinion of experts who are knowledgeable about non-motorised transport. There is a consensus that there will be more walking for leisure and health, but less everyday walking. This will happen despite walking being seen as more important and there being more facilities, infrastructure, information and funding for walking. |
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| Keywords: | Future of walking in Europe Delphi technique Expert opinion Everyday walking Discretionary walking |
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