三大重点能耗部门能源消费的面板协整分析

将面板数据模型和协整理论结合起来,以1985—2008年我国三大重点能耗部门（工业、建筑和交通运输部门）的截面数据为依托,构建能源消费的面板协整模型。实证分析了我国三大重点能耗部门的能源消费和产业产值之间的面板协整关系。在得出变系数的面板模型达到基础上,对模型进行面板单位根检验和面板协整检验,得出长期稳定的均衡关系。结论对于三大重点能耗部门制定能源发展战略奠定了基础。

The Panel Cointegration Analysis of Energy Consumption in the Three Major Consuming Sectors

On the base of the data of the three major consuming sectors of China from 1985 to 2008,this paper combine the panel data model and the cointegration theory to build the energy consumption panel-cointegration model.It analyzes the panel cointegration relationship between the energy consumption and the industrial output of the three major consuming sectors in China.Variable coefficient in the draw to reach the panel model,based on the model panel unit root tests and panel cointegration test,draw the long-term equilibrium relationship.The conclusion laid the foundation for the development of the three major energy consuming sectors.