The demand for money in Austria |
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Authors: | Bernd Hayo |
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Affiliation: | (1) ZEI, University of Bonn, Walter-Flex-Str. 3, 53113 Bonn, Germany (e-mail: hayo@united.econ.uni-bonn.de), DE |
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Abstract: | In this paper, the demand for real money M1, M2, and M3 is estimated for Austria over the time period 1965–96. The modelling takes place within the framework of a small vector autoregression. To estimate the demand for money, two-equation error-correction models are constructed, which contain the short-run dynamics and the long-run economic equilibrium. It is found that a stable money demand exists for all monetary aggregates. The long-run equilibrium of M1, after accounting for a structural break in 1979, can be characterised as a classical type of money demand, with no interest rate effects and an elasticity of one for real GDP. In the case of M2 and M3, we find a unit coefficient on income and a significantly negative influence of a long-term interest rate. The statistical properties of the estimated short-run money demand equations – considering in-sample and out-of-sample tests – are generally very good. First version received: October 1996/Final version received: April 2000 |
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Keywords: | : monetary economics money demand Austria European Monetary Union |
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