Quality-adjusted survival with combination nab-paclitaxel + gemcitabine vs gemcitabine alone in metastatic pancreatic cancer: a Q-TWiST analysis

Objectives:

To use the Quality-Adjusted Time Without Symptoms or Toxicities (Q-TWiST) methodology to compare the quality-of-life and survival benefits associated with the combination of albumin-bound (nab)-paclitaxel and gemcitabine vs gemcitabine alone in the first-line treatment of metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

Methods:

Total survival time through 45 months was partitioned into time before disease progression without toxicity grade ≥3 (TWiST), time with adverse event grade ≥3 (TOX), and time of disease progression (REL). Mean Q-TWiST was calculated by multiplying time spent in each health state by its respective utility (i.e., TWiST?=?1.00; TOX/REL?=?0.50, 0–1 in sensitivity analyses). Non-parametric bootstrap 95% confidence intervals (CI) were derived to assess the significance of between-treatment differences in TOX, TWiST, REL, and Q-TWiST. A relative gain in Q-TWiST (vs mean overall survival of gemcitabine) of ≥10% and ≥15% was defined as clinically important and clearly clinically important, respectively.

Results:

Patients on nab-paclitaxel?+?gemcitabine spent a significantly longer time in every state and experienced significantly greater overall Q-TWiST (+1.7 months 95% CI?=?0.8, 2.7]) than those receiving gemcitabine alone (8.2 months 95% CI?=?7.5, 8.9] vs 6.5 months 95% CI?=?5.8, 7.0]), assuming base-case utilities of TOX/REL?=?0.50. This Q-TWiST gain ranged from 1.0 month (95% CI?=?0.1, 1.9), when REL/TOX utilities were both 0, to 2.5 months (95% CI?=?1.3, 3.7), when REL/TOX utilities were both 1. Relative gains in Q-TWiST were 21% in favor of nab-paclitaxel?+?gemcitabine in the base case, and ranged from 12–30% in sensitivity analyses.

Conclusions:

There are limitations to Q-TWiST analyses, e.g., imprecision when defining duration/severity of TOX and lack of prospective collection of utilities. This analysis addressed these issues via sensitivity analyses and conservative assumptions to show that nab-paclitaxel?+?gemcitabine results in statistically significant and clinically important gains in quality-adjusted survival, when compared to gemcitabine alone, in treatment-naive metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma patients.