中国与东盟国家贸易对中国经济增长影响的实证研究——基于不同生产要素密集型产品贸易的视角

东盟已连续十几年成为中国第五大贸易伙伴,因此研究中国与东盟贸易对中国经济增长的影响具有重要的意义。本文从不同生产要素密集型产品贸易的角度,运用协整分析技术和脉冲响应函数法,采用1987～2005年的数据,分析中国与东盟国家进出口贸易对中国经济增长的影响。研究显示:1987～2005年,在中国对东盟国家的出口贸易中,产品总体呈现技术密集程度越高,对中国经济增长促进作用越大的特点。但是,1987～2005年间中国自东盟国家进口的技术密集程度高的产品对我国经济增长却没有显现出明显的促进作用。

An Empirical Analysis of the Influence of Trade between China and ASEAN Countries on China's Economic Growth:from the Perspective of Trade of Factor-intensive Product

ASEAN has been the fifth biggest trade companion to China for more than ten years,so it has a significante meaning to study the influence of trade between China and ASEAN countries on economic growth in China.This thesis will study this problem with cointegration analysis and impulse response function from the points of trade of factor-intensive products.The sample data are from 1987～2005.The resault shows that the more intensive technology is,the larger influence it had on China's economic growth.But the technology-intensive products that imported from ASEAN by China didn't show this characteristics obviously during 1987～2005.