| 用灰色系统模型估测我国非正规经济规模 |
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| 引用本文： | 李炳林,刘洪.用灰色系统模型估测我国非正规经济规模[J].商业研究,2006(17):54-58. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李炳林 刘洪 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 湖南科技学院,经济贸易与管理系,湖南,永州,425006
2. 中南财经政法大学,信息学院,湖北,武汉,430000 |
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| 摘 要： | 这些年来全世界的非正规经济得到了迅速的发展,非正规经济的估测和研究是经济领域最难的问题之一。利用灰色系统模型对我国改革开放以来的非正规经济进行了预测,得出的结果在10.25%-16.17%,与实际比较吻合。
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| 关 键 词： | 非正规经济 灰色系统 模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-148X（2006）17-0054-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-11-01 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年11月1日 |
The Application of Gray System Model to the Prediction of Irregular Economy in China |
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| LI Bing-lin,LIU Hong.The Application of Gray System Model to the Prediction of Irregular Economy in China[J].Commercial Research,2006(17):54-58. |
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| Authors: | LI Bing-lin LIU Hong |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Economics and Martagement ,Hunan University of Science and Engineering, Yongzhou 425006, China 2. School of Information Science ,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan 430000, China |
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| Abstract: | Irregular economy develops very rapidly in the world economy these years and it is also one of the most difficult problems in economy to research and estimate.There are several methods to estimate the scale of irregular economy.The paper introduces the gray system theory and utilizes index of M_1 to predict irregular economy in China.These results are between 10% to 17% practically contemptible with the truth. |
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| Keywords: | irregular economy gray system model |
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