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上海市旅游业发展阶段研究
引用本文:吴嵩,. 上海市旅游业发展阶段研究[J]. 华东经济管理, 2010, 24(11): 4-6. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-5097.2010.11.002
作者姓名:吴嵩  
作者单位:上海海事大学,经济与管理学院,上海,200135
摘    要:近几年上海经济突飞猛进的发展,旅游业发展迅猛,对上海经济的贡献日益显现,文章就上海旅游业的生命周期进行分析,对提高旅游业政策制定的科学性和增强旅游业发展战略的前瞻性具有重要意义。利用logistic回归模型研究旅游业的发展阶段,表明上海正处于发展旅游业的最佳时机。

关 键 词:旅游业  logistic  生长曲线

The Analysis on the Stage of the Tourism Industry in Shanghai
WU Song. The Analysis on the Stage of the Tourism Industry in Shanghai[J]. East China Economic Management, 2010, 24(11): 4-6. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-5097.2010.11.002
Authors:WU Song
Affiliation:School of Economics and Management; Shanghai Maritime University; Shanghai 200135; China
Abstract:In recent years,Shanghai s economy developped radidly,the development of the tourism industry has been to become more and more important to promote Shanghai s economy.This paper analyses the life-cycle of the tourism in Shanghai,it is significiant to improve the tourism industry and enhance the scientific nature of the forward-looking strategy.This paper uses the logistic regression model to analysis the development stage of the tourism industry,it shows that Shanghai is in the best time to develop the tour...
Keywords:logistic
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