中国能源、环境、工业化与经济增长关系的实证分析

本文利用计量经济理论,建立了向量误差修正模型,对我国经济增长、工业化水平、能源和环境之间的关系进行了协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验。得到以下结论:第一,能源、环境、工业化和经济增长之间具有长期均衡关系;第二,经济增长和工业化水平是造成能源消费和环境问题的格兰杰原因,经济增长和工业化水平间相互影响;第三,短期内经济增长和工业化水平是影响能源消费、环境问题的主要因素。

Empirical Analysis on Relationships among Energy,Environment,Industrialization and Economic Growth in China

Applying the econometric theory and establishing the vector error correction model,this paper analyzes the relationships among economic growth,industrialization,energy consumption and environment pollution through cointegration test and Granger causality test.The results show that:there exist long-term equilibrium relations among economic growth,industrialization,energy consumption and environment pollution;economic growth and industrialization are the Granger causes of energy consumption and environment po...