外商在华直接投资与中国对外贸易相互关系的实证分析

改革开放三十年来,中国经济发展取得了举世瞩目的成就。作为对外开放重要组成部分的外商在华直接投资与对外贸易的快速增长,对中国经济增长速度的加快、生产技术水平的提高、产业结构的优化起了重要推动作用。本文运用协整分析法和向量自回归(VAR)模型,从中国对外贸易总额、结构、方式、地区分布以及参与对外贸易的企业性质等五个方面,分析了外商在华直接投资与中国对外贸易之间的相互关系。研究结果表明,外商在华直接投资与中国对外贸易发展之间表现为以互补为主、替代与互补交织的关系。

The Empirical Study on the Relationship between the FDI Inflows and China's Foreign Trade

China's economic development has made remarkable achievements in 30 years of the reform and opening-up.As important parts of opening-up,FDI inflows and foreign trade have played important roles in accelerating the China's economic growth rate,raising the level of production technology,optimizing the industrial structure.We analyze the relationship between the FDI inflows and the China's foreign trade with the cointegration model and the VAR model from five aspects of the China's foreign trade,such as the to...