新疆GDP与消费需求计量经济分析

在经济分析中,消费是宏观经济活动中必不可缺少的环节。经济学家在各自的假定前提下,分别建立起自己的消费理论与模型,为宏观经济理论研究与实证分析莫定了坚实的基础。本文利用经济理论和计量经济方法,通过对1985～2004年新疆GDP与最终消费的统计数据进行分析,建立了适合新疆实际状况的单方程计量经济模型和误差修正模型(ECM),为合理制定新疆宏观经济政策提供决策依据。

Analysis of Xingjiang province GDP and consuming requirement measurement Economy

Consumption in the economic analysis of macroeconomic ac- tivity is indispensable link.Economists in a separate premise build their consumption theories and models,which has laid a solid foundation for macroeconomic research and empirical analysis of macroeconomic theory. The article makes use of the economic theory and econometric methods to analysis statistical data through 1985～2004 GDP and final consumption in Xinjiang,the author in order to create a single-equation econometric model and error correction model(ECM)for the actual situation of Xinjiang.These models sire out the reasonable accordance to make decisions macro-eco- nomically for Xinjiang.