Modelling tourism expenditure using complexity theory |
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| Institution: | 1. College of Hospitality & Tourism Management, Sejong University, 209, Neungdong-ro, Gwangjin-gu, Seoul 05006, South Korea;2. Faculty of Tourism, Eastern Mediterranean University, Gazimagusa/KKTC, Via Mersin 10, Turkey;1. Faculty of Busines and Law, Kingston University London, Kingston KT2 7LB, United Kingdom;2. Richard Lewis Communications Ltd., Riversdown House, Warnford, Hampshire SO32 3LH, United Kingdom;3. Business School, University of Huddersfield, Queensgate, Huddersfield HD1 3DH, United Kingdom;1. Departament d''Economia Aplicada, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Carretera Valldemossa km 7,5,07122 Palma de Mallorca, Spain;2. Departament d''Economia, Finances i Comptabilitat, ESADE, Avenida Pedralbes, 60-62, 08034 Barcelona, Spain;3. Griffith Institute for Tourism, Gold Coast Campus, Griffith University, Business 2 Building (G27), 58 Parklands Drive, Southport Qld 4222, Australia |
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| Abstract: | This study contributes to the literature by offering a novel analytical approach to solving complex interactions of tourism expenditure antecedents, advancing the theoretical reasoning behind the way in which socioeconomic indicators of prosperity combine to explain tourism expenditure on an international scale. The study explored a variety of configurations sufficient for simulation of both high and low scores of outbound tourism expenditures that have policy implications in both destination countries and countries of origin. We used complexity theory and fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) to analyze a composite score of 5-year data for 105 countries. The predictive validity results indicated the capacity of the proposed model to predict future outcome using other samples. The results expand our knowledge of the asymmetrical relationships of tourism expenditure and its antecedents. |
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