The influence of tax and expenditure policies on economic growth in The Netherlands: An empirical analysis

Summary This paper explores the influence of government policies in explaining output, emploment and investment in The Netherlands during the period 1966–1989. The paper develops an empirical macroeconomic model estimated with annual data relating to the period 1958–1989. It finds that restrictive fiscal policies in the eighties have had adverse short-term effects on output and employment. Furthermore, the drop in the rate of increase in tax and social security contribution rates in this period has boosted output, employment and investment. However, the shift in public expenditure from investment to consumption has exerted a negative impact on these variables, largely offsetting the positive impact of the tax policies.At the moment of writing, Ed W.M.T. Westerhout was a staff member of the Directorate for Economic Policy, Ministry of Economic Affairs. Currently the is affiliated to the Central Planning Bureau, P.O. Box. 80510, 2508 GM The Hague.We thank Peter van Bergeijk, Lans Bovenberg, Rob Mulder, Pieter Waasdorp and two anonymous referees for uselfut suggestions and comments.