中国通货膨胀与经济增长关系的实证研究：基于地区层面的视角

选取1978年～2009年的年度时间序列数据，在协整分析的基础之上，运用格兰杰因果关系检验和脉冲响应函数方法，对中国以及中国分地区的通货膨胀和经济发展的关系分别进行了实证研究。结果显示：全国范围内的通货膨胀与经济增长之间存在着长期稳定的关系，并具有双向的格兰杰因果关系。但是，从各个地区的通货膨胀与经济增长的关系来看，结果却不尽相同。在此基础上，文章从两个方面提出了简要的政策建议。

Empirical Study of the Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth from the Perspective of Regions

By applying cointegration analysis, granger causality test and impulse response function analysis into the yearly data between 1978 and 2009 from statistics yearbook of China （SYC） , this paper investigates the relationship between inflation and economic growth in China, as well as China＇s 30 provinces. The result shows that there is an obvious, long-term relationship and two-way Granger Causality between inflation and economic growth across China. However, the study finds that there is no similar relationship between inflation and economic growth based on the empirical analysis. In addition, some brief policy suggestions are given for it.