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A long-run Pure Variance Common Features model for the common volatilities of the Dow Jones
Authors:Robert F. Engle  Juri Marcucci
Affiliation:1. Department of Finance, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, 44 West Fourth Street, Suite 9-62, New York, NY 10012-1126, USA;2. Department of Economics, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, La Jolla, CA 92093-0508, USA
Abstract:In this paper, a new model to analyze the comovements in the volatilities of a portfolio is proposed. The Pure Variance Common Features model is a factor model for the conditional variances of a portfolio of assets, designed to isolate a small number of variance features that drive all assets’ volatilities. It decomposes the conditional variance into a short-run idiosyncratic component (a low-order ARCH process) and a long-run component (the variance factors). An empirical example provides evidence that models with very few variance features perform well in capturing the long-run common volatilities of the equity components of the Dow Jones.
Keywords:C52   C32
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