淮河生态经济带城市竞争力评价指标体系研究——基于动态因子模型的实证分析

通过选取经济实力、基础设施、环境质量、人力资本等4个一级指标,并设计人均地区生产总值、建成区绿化覆盖率、人均道路面积、每万人在校大学生数等15个二级指标,在考虑了各城市间的差异性和发展水平空间分布不平衡性的基础上,运用动态因子分析模型得出各城市竞争力强弱排名,预测的各城市动态、静态变化趋势能更好地为规划城市建设工作提供决策参考。根据研究成果,对淮河生态经济带发展提出城市间要因地制宜推动绿色发展、发挥自身的区域优势、充分利用自然资源发展特色产业、构建区域内城市联动发展机制、促进区域整体互补协同等推进生态经济高质量发展的建议。

Evaluationindex system of urban competitiveness in Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt: Empirical analysis based on dynamic factor model

The cities in Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt should promote green industry according to the local conditions, give full play to their own comparative advantages and strengthen regional overall complementarity and coordination to improve the high-quality development of ecological economy. By selecting 4 first-class indices of economic strength, infrastructure, environmental quality and human capital and designing 15 secondary indices such as per capita GDP, green coverage rate of built-up area, per capita road area, number of college students per 10000 people, the ranking of competitiveness of various cities is obtained using the dynamic factor analysis model considering the differences among cities and the imbalance of spatial distribution of development level. The predicted dynamic and static trends of various cities can better provide decision-making reference for planning and construction work. Finally, according the research results, some suggestions are put forward for the high-quality development of ecological economy in Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt, including promoting green industry in various cities based on the local conditions, giving full play of their own regional advantages, fully utilizing the natural resources to develop special industry, constructing regional urban joint development mechanism, and promoting regional complementarity and coordination.