中国旅游就业增长方式研究——引入环境压力因素的生产函数分析

文章建立了基于旅游生产函数的旅游就业方程,由此证明了旅游经济和旅游就业不总是存在正比例关系,同时也说明了旅游业的技术水平、相关部门就业关联度和旅游产生的环境压力是决定旅游就业增长方式的主要解释变量。经验研究显示,我国旅游就业主要由接待量增长和景区环境扩容所导致,但文章根据1988~2004年中国旅游业的相关实际数据,运用ADF检验和VAR模型等计量工具得出了不同的实证结论,也就是我国的旅游就业是(部门间)关联就业带动型的;并且在现有状态条件下技术水平的提高对我国旅游就业有微小的负作用,其根本原因还是真正的技术创新能力不足所致。

The Study on China's Tourism Employment Growth Model: Positive Research Introduced From Production Function of Pressure on Envirovment

This paper formats a tourism employment equation based on travel production function.It shows that output of tourism is not necessarily positively related to tourism employment,and that technology in tourism,employment multiplier of tourism and pressure on environment from travel are crucial to tourism employment.Positive results of ADF tests and VAR model based on data from China's tourism 1988~2004 reveal that China's tourism is motivated by the linkage between travel industry and non-travel industry,and that technology poses a weak negative impact on tourism employment.Finally,this paper gives an explanation of the above findings.