可持续转型理论研究综述及展望

国外近20年才兴起的可持续转型（ST）理论, 为破解当前新兴技术产业化发展成功率和贡献度不高、扶持效果不大的困境提供了系统有效的分析模型和方法工具,已成为当前技术创新管理和可持续发展管理研究的一个热点领域,目前国内对ST理论的研究全貌和前沿跟踪仍显不足。辨析了国外ST理论的研究缘起和内涵特征,运用知识图谱方法描绘了ST研究的知识基础、发展脉络及热点趋势。在此基础上,分析了运用ST研究新兴技术产业化的优势,最后指出了未来研究方向。

A Literature Review of Sustainable Transition Theory and Future Prospects

The Sustainable Transition (ST)Theory, which emerged abroad in the past two decades, provides a scientific theoretical explanation, a new analytical framework and an effective method tool for the two gaps that need to be crossed in the development of emerging technologies. The theory has received keen attention from government, academia and business community, and become an important research field of the current international social technology transition management and innovation management. At present, the research on the ST theory and the frontier is not enough. This paper analyzes the origin and connotation of the foreign ST theory, and uses the Mapping Knowledge Domains method to describe the knowledge basis, development trend and hotspot trend of ST research. On this basis, the paper analyzes the advantage of using ST to study the industrialization of emerging technologies, and finally points out the future research direction.