技术进步、节能减排与发展方式转型——基于中国工业36个行业的实证考察

本文在考虑能源与排放因素的基础上,测算并分解中国36个工业行业基于绿色增长的技术进步,分析了工业节能减排的转型特征。以此为基础,采用面板技术实证分析技术进步对节能减排的非对称影响。结果显示,工业能耗与排放具有明显的行业异质性,高能耗与高排放强度行业节能减排潜力巨大;技术进步对节能减排具有显著正向影响,其中科技进步的贡献最大,纯技术效率、规模效率次之;能源消费结构对减排具有重要影响,在减排政策中应重点关注。

Technology Progress,Energy Save and Emission Reduce and Development Pattern Transformation

Concerning energy and emission,this paper estimates and decomposes technology progress based on green growth of China’s 36 industries.We analyze dynamic character of industries’ energy save and emission reduce.Then we analyze how technology progress influence the industries’ energy save and emission reduce.The conclusion reveals that,energy consume and emission of industries behaves heterogeneity,industries of high energy consume intensity and high emission intensity have great potentialities of saving energy and reducing emission.The technology progress has a positive influence on energy saving and emission reducing,the contribution of technology efficiency is bigger than pure technology efficiency and scale efficiency.Energy consume structure have important effect on emission reduce,the policy should pay close attention to it.